E-Book of the New Sun

  • The Fermi Paradox Vs. the E.T. Hypothesis

    June 3, 2020 by

    I’ve always been skeptical of the E.T. hypothesis, which posits that some UFOs are likely aliens. The lack of hard evidence puts a low ceiling on its plausibility, and even mass sightings can have prosaic causes.1 But what about the occasional barn burner of a sighting, one with credible witnesses and backed by compelling video… Read more

  • Flawed Assumptions in Existential Risk Analysis

    May 20, 2020 by

    I’ve been following the existential risk (xrisk) community for a few years, and I’ve noticed that its core assumptions aren’t challenged much. Inspired by a well-argued (though perhaps misguided) critique of xrisk by Phil Torres, I’ve tried to pin down my qualms with those assumptions.1 When polled on the odds of humanity going extinct by… Read more

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